The Toronto Blue Jays are back in action Tuesday night after dropping the series opener to the New York Mets, 3-2, at Rogers Centre on Monday night.

Toronto has now dropped six of its last seven games, producing a 2-5 over/under mark in that span.

New York is trending in the opposite direction, picking up wins in 10 of its last 11 games to vault into a playoff spot in the National League.

Let’s dive into the game odds for Tuesday’s clash between the Mets and Blue Jays courtesy of bet365:

Mets vs. Blue Jays odds

Mets Moneyline Odds	-130
Blue Jays Moneyline Odds	+110
Runline Odds	Mets -1.5 (+125), Blue Jays +1.5 (-150)
Over/Under	Over 8 runs (-105), Under 8 runs (-115)
Time/Date	Sept. 10, 7:07 p.m. ET
TV	Broadcast: Sportsnet, Sportsnet+

Betting New York Mets (79-65 SU, 76-68 ATS, 71-69-4 o/u)

The Mets were held to just three hits by the Blue Jays on Monday night, but they were able to take advantage of some sloppy Toronto play in the eighth inning to produce three runs and squeeze out a victory. Tylor Megill was excellent, making the start on the mound for the Mets on short notice, tossing six innings of shutout ball while striking out nine Blue Jays.

The Mets are holding the opposition to an average of just 1.9 runs per game during their last 11 games, not allowing the opposition to score more than four runs in a single contest during that span. In fact, Mets pitchers have a combined 3.46 ERA since the All-Star break, which is the fifth-best mark in the majors.

Betting Toronto Blue Jays (68-77 SU, 77-68 ATS, 75-67-3 o/u)

Manager John Schneider elected to use Ryan Burr as an opener on Monday to give his starting pitching staff an additional day of rest before the home stretch. He threw a pair of scoreless innings before turning the ball over to the bullpen, which only allowed two earned runs the rest of the way.

Offensively, the Blue Jays were held to just four hits, with two of them coming off the bat of Ernie Clement. Spencer Horwitz remained hot, picking up a double in the losing cause. Horwitz hit three homers over the weekend in Atlanta.

Probable starting pitchers

New York: LHP David Peterson (9-1, 2.75 ERA, 7.41 K/9, 1.31 WHIP)

Peterson is in fine form, posting a 5-1 record with a 2.47 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break. He’s racked up 49 strikeouts over just shy of 53 innings in that span, and he’s holding the opposition to a .230 batting average. The lefty is also a perfect 7-0 with a 2.59 ERA in 11 night starts this season. He primarily throws a sinker, which helps him produce one of the highest ground-ball rates in the majors at 52.8%.

Toronto: RHP Chris Bassitt (9-13, 4.30 ERA, 8.94 K/9, 1.43 WHIP)

After a solid first half of the season, Bassitt has stumbled since the All-Star break, producing a 1-6 record with a bloated 5.98 ERA in nine starts. He was touched up for three earned runs on 10 hits over 5 1/3 innings last time out by the Philadelphia Phillies, and he hasn’t picked up a win since Aug. 6. The right-hander enjoyed one of his finest MLB seasons with the Mets back in 2022, producing a career-best 3.2 WAR.

Weather

It should be a perfect evening for outdoor baseball in Toronto, with forecasts calling for temperatures around 18 C and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 7 mph.

MLB betting trends

The Mets are 14-2 in Peterson’s last 16 starts.
The under is 8-3 in New York’s last 11 games.
The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 26 of their last 42 games.

MLB player prop trends

Horwitz has three homers over his last three games. His home run odds aren’t yet available as of Tuesday morning.
Blue Jays catcher Alejandro Kirk has hit safely in seven straight games. He’s -240 to get a hit.
Peterson has recorded 18 outs or more in five straight starts. He’s -125 to record over 17.5 outs.
Mets DH J.D. Martinez has recorded over two hits + runs + RBIs in three straight games and seven of his last 10. He’s +110 to record over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs.

Mets vs. Blue Jays predictions

Mets moneyline: -130. We backed the Mets on Monday night as a short favourite, and we should do so again on Tuesday. They’re smoking hot right now, and Peterson has been incredibly solid for them on the mound recently. It’s a little surprising New York isn’t a bigger favourite in this spot.
Blue Jays team total under 3.5 runs: -115. The Mets have held the opposition under this number in 10 of their last 11 games, and with Peterson on the mound, this trend should continue through Tuesday.