MLB All-Star week is the perfect time for bettors to take a break and let their sports betting apps cool off a bit, but if you can’t get enough baseball action, the 94th MLB All-Star Game is set to take place Tuesday in Arlington, Texas.
The National League snapped a nine-game losing streak with a 3-2 victory in the event last year in Seattle, but the American League has dominated the event in recent history, taking nine of the last 10 All-Star Games.
Let’s dive into the game odds courtesy of bet365:
MLB All-Star Game odds
American League Moneyline Odds | -120 |
National League Moneyline Odds | +100 |
Runline Odds | AL -1.5 (+175), NL +1.5 (-210) |
Over/Under | Over 7.5 runs (+100), Under 7.5 runs (-120) |
Time/Date | July 16, 8:00 p.m. ET |
TV | Broadcast: Sportsnet , Sportsnet+ |
About the American League
The AL All-Stars are slight favourites on the moneyline after capturing nine of the last 10 Midsummer Classics. Leading the way this year will be a pair of New York Yankees, Juan Soto and Aaron Judge, who are both starting and hitting third and fourth, respectively, in the lineup. The hulking duo has combined for 57 home runs and 151 RBIs to this point, so NL pitchers will need to be sharp early in the game against two of the best power hitters in baseball.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the only player from the Toronto Blue Jays to be named an All-Star this year. He’ll start at first base and hit seventh in the lineup behind Cleveland’s Jose Ramirez and ahead of Baltimore’s Adley Rutschman.
Cleveland’s Josh Naylor, who hails from the Toronto area, will be the only Canadian participating in the event this year. He will be coming off the bench as a reserve.
Unfortunately, several AL All-Stars pulled out of the game due to injuries, including Houston’s Jose Altuve and Kyle Tucker, Boston’s Rafael Devers, Minnesota’s Carlos Correa, and Seattle’s Logan Gilbert.
About the National League
Much like the AL, the NL All-Stars have also been hit with injuries, especially on the pitching side. Chris Sale (Atlanta), Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles, Ranger Suarez (Philadelphia), Zack Wheeler (Philadelphia), and Ryan Helsley (St. Lous) will all be sidelined. San Diego’s Fernando Tatis Jr. and Dodgers star Mookie Betts are also key players that won’t suit up due to injury.
When comparing starting lineups, the NL seems to be at a slight disadvantage. However, the NL reserves, led by Cincinnai’s electrifying shortstop Elly De La Cruz, should pack a punch in the middle innings. The NL’s relief corps (Tanner Scott, Matt Strahm, Kyle Finnegan, Robert Suarez, and Jeff Hoffman) also doesn’t stack up well against the AL’s high-octane arms (Clay Holmes, Mason Miller, Emmanuel Clase, Andres Munoz, and Kirby Yates).
Probable starting pitchers
AL: RHP Corbin Burnes (9-4, 2.43 ERA, 8.34 K/9, 1.04 WHIP)
Burnes has translated his success from the NL to the AL in his first season with the Baltimore Orioles, being named an All-Star for the fourth consecutive season. He’ll be the fifth Orioles pitcher to start in the Midsummer Classic and the first since 1980 (Steve Stone). The 2021 NL Cy Young Award winner wasn’t a sure bet to attend the All-Star Game, as his wife gave birth to twins just a few weeks ago. He hasn’t pitched since June 10, so it’s possible we could see two innings out of him on Tuesday.
NL: RHP Paul Skenes (6-0, 1.90 ERA, 12.08 K/9, 0.92 WHIP)
Skenes will be just the fifth rookie pitcher ever to start the Midsummer Classic. He’ll also be the first Pirates pitcher in nearly 50 years to start the game. The 22-year-old right-hander has taken the league by storm since being called up to make his big-league debut on May 11, amassing an incredible 89 strikeouts over his first 66 1/3 innings of work. His blazing fastball averages 99 mph, but he also throws a devastating split-finger and slider in addition to a changeup and curveball. NL Manager Torey Lovullo said Monday that Skenes will be limited to just one inning of work.
Weather
With extreme evening temperatures expected around 36 C, the retractable dome at Globe Life Field will likely be closed despite the forecast calling for clear skies.
All-Star Game betting trends
- The AL has gone 27-7-1 SU in the All-Star Game since 1988.
- Unders are 13-4 in the All-Star Game since 2005.
- Seven total runs or fewer have been scored in four straight All-Star Games.
MLB player prop trends
- NL shortstop Trea Turner is tearing the cover off the ball right now, slashing .434/.464/.887 with eight home runs and 20 RBIs over the last 15 days for the Philadelphia Phillies. He’ll hit third and start at shortstop for the NL.
- Arizona’s Ketel Marte was rolling heading into the All-Star break, posting multi-hit games in four of the final five games. He’s slashed .476/.542./.762 over the last seven days with two homers and six RBIs while stealing a pair of bases. He’ll be starting at second base and will hit leadoff for the NL.
All-Star Game predictions
- MLB All-Star Games are incredibly difficult to handicap due to the high number of substitutions and pitching changes throughout the game. However, after examining both rosters as a whole, the AL, which has dominated the Midsummer Classic in recent history, seems to have a slight edge. Take the AL on the moneyline at -120.
- Wagering on the All-Star Game MVP is a total crapshoot with so much talent on both sides, but there appears to be some value on both leadoff men for the respective teams. Steven Kwan (+3000) and Marte (+2800) have the highest probability of getting at least two at-bats (maybe even three) by hitting first in their respective lineups before making way for reserves. More at-bats equals more chances to do something special to gain recognition and capture the honour. It might be worth wagering a half-unit on both of these longshots.